Yeah, 538 looks like it'll settle in at 70/30 (note actual popular vote will be very close). What's more interesting is the electoral college breakdown. All contingent on NH. Although if Clinton carries Florida or Ohio, NH becomes losable. Although the opposite is true if Trump can grab Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Michigan or Wisconsin. Ohio will tell us how the election will go. If they call Ohio before 9pm, I'll be surprised. If Clinton wins Ohio, that's a very good sign. If Trump doesn't win by 2+ points, it's going to be a long night for their campaign.
Having trouble at the polls? Call the U.S. DOJ Voting Rights Hotline: 800-253-3931 or go to this DoJ webpage and scroll to the bottom for more information. Here's a media webpage with more information on what you can do. You might want to have your local chapter of the ACLU's number handy ("The Election Protection Hotline at 866-OUR-VOTE or 888-VE-Y-VOTA for Spanish-speakers can walk you through the process.") Want to be more informed about what you'll see on the ballot (issues, other candidates, etc), try the LWV Vote411 website for a voter's guide.
"Toronto advertising agency Zulu Alpha Kilo created this video to demonstrate how absurd it is for people to ask for the advertising industry to do spec work in hopes of getting more business." (Grokked from Elizabeth Bear)
"Hide & Seek lets you search in Google and Bing as an anonymous user, and simultaneously use their other services, like Gmail and Outlook as a logged in user. You can do this without having to use Private Browsing." (Grokked from Dan)
"A mysterious sound deep in the Arctic seems to be causing sea animals to flee." Lovecraft keep telling us it was the South Pacific we should worry about, maybe he was intentionally misdirecting us? (Grokked from Emma Audsley)
The Greased Lightning NASA drone. A tilt-rotor with 10 engines and a 360 degree camera. Okay, that's kinda nifty. (Grokked from Dan)
Robots are coming for your jobs. "World record-holding Japanese sword master Isao Machii tested his remarkable skills against a Yaskawa Motoman-MH24 industrial robot in an incredible demonstration put together by Yaskawa. Machii worked with Yaskawa to help translate his considerable skill into a form the robot could understand and replicate using 3D motion capture and other technology." Hell, they're coming for Bushido's jobs. It's an interesting demonstration, but here's the difference. The robot can't make up or decide on the motions itself. It's just a demonstration on how the robot can mimic the actions of the master. (Grokked from John)
"Michael Rectenwald, a 57-year-old untenured NYU professor, was placed on paid leave. He, and various conservative websites, claim that he was forced out for mocking political correctness." What is often the case in supposed "fired for not being politically correct" cases, nope, the guy was actively working to subvert his employer. "Rectenwald tried to build an anonymous online following with the intent to attack and damage his employer, quipped that he hoped his students would kill themselves, decided to out himself for attention, found the consequences not to his taste, asked for paid leave, told the press he was told to leave, then got snarled when his employer found itself free to publish some relevant internal correspondence." Yeah, typically it's because they're dicks.
The long lines for early voting. Yes, it's intentional. I live in Ashtabula County in Ohio. We are the largest (land area) county. We have one early voting site (at the county seat). It's a 45 minute drive from where I live. (Grokked from John Scalzi)
Meanwhile, elsewhere in Ohio, "Thousands of people lined up outside county boards of elections (Sunday), waiting to cast ballots in what some described as the most important election of their lifetimes."
Tweet of my heart: @johndberry It feels like in this election year we're seeing the dying spasms of the old nativist America. That's why it's so desperate and nasty. (Grokked from Tania)
Double dip: @zackroth Election protection worker says she's hearing from NC black voters scared 2 vote coz of Trump backers' intimidation. Worry abt losing jobs. (Grokked from Jim Wright)
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