There's battle lines being drawn.
Nobody's right if everybody's wrong.
Young people speaking their minds
getting so much resistance from behind

Monday, April 21, 2008

It'll All Be Over Tomorrow... Not

Yes, tomorrow is another speed bump on the way to the convention. Unless Hillary wins by 25% or Obama wins by 10%, nothing is going to be settled. Because it won't be settled until the actual convention. Because despite all the rhetorical flap, as long as it keeps going the way it is (48-52% spreads), nobody's got the math. Not even with the super-delegates (because they are also splitting down the middle). Edwards is going to be the most courted white man in America in the next few months (he hasn't released his pledged delegates yet - not that it really means anything, but it's a nice formality). Yes, everybody get ready for a brokered convention. It'll be whomever can sway enough delegates to switch that will win. The only way to avoid it? Somebody can get a grip and redo Florida and Michigan (no, just banking the delegates isn't an acceptable solution to anybody).

And you know what. Stop spittling, this is exactly why the super-delegate system was imposed. No, really, this is why they are there. Two good candidates that people can choose between. The SDs are there to make the decision on which (in their professional opinion) has the best chance to win in November.

And, despite what Fox News wants us to believe, it's damn great to have people who normally don't get to have campaigning in their states are now getting to see it (and some are very tired of it, other are quite excited about it). And that we don't have a font runner selected is going very well, thank you. Sure, "If X wins, would you vote for them since your candidate Y lost" questions get the answer that question is designed to produce. Ask the question in a different way and that "schism" all but disappears.

And I agree with the consensus that both the candidates have very close policies and want to address the same issues. I'm also tired of the harping on "manufactured issues" (on both sides, and don't get me started on wearing a lapel flag pin unless you want your ear burned off) and wish they would get to discuss the differences in their plans and views (because, even through the agree on things, they have different approaches and priorities). But that's not what sells advertising, or is the easiest to encapsulate on the evening news. It's not MTVish enough for our attention deficit disorder nation.

So, are we all prepared for a long spring and summer?

6 comments:

Nathan said...

I keep seeing news reports that worry about how long the Dems are taking to choose a nominee. There's this whole prediction that somehow, having a contested nomination process is damaging to whoever eventually wins.

I think that may be true for the professionals, but the rest of us will happily vote for whichever one eventually prevails.

Random Michelle K said...

I for one and THRILLED about the primary stretching out so long. I have never in my entire life had my vote count in a presidential primary before (and I've voted in every once since I turned 18) so this is AWESOME!

I also want to point and laugh at Florida and Michigan. They screwed up, they get to suffer, while the rest of us who never count, actually get to have our voices heard this year.

YEE HAW!

Steve Buchheit said...

Nathan, I think it has more to do with the news organizations saying, "OMG, we've got to cover all these candidates, and it's taking so long, so we have people out in the field traveling around, so it's costing us money... won't they just pick one and we can cut costs."

Michelle K, I agree. I hope you have fun with them campaigning. With each state that have to campaign in, they have to learn the concerns of that state, so I think it's a good thing the candidates are learning about more of the country.

Random Michelle K said...

I hope to enjoy it!

Though I was hoping that things would have turned out differently than the projections are showing.

Ah well.

Todd Wheeler said...

The fifty-state campaign is good for the states, good for the country, and very good for one of the candidates.

And it ain't McCain.

Steve Buchheit said...

Michelle, well, I think everybody is disappointed by the results, even though they're pretty close to predictions.

Todd, yeah, McCain did Youngstown and basically told them, "Hang on just a little longer, the sun'll come out tomorrow. So you gotta hang on till tomorrow..." Although it shows that while he hasn't a clue (missed the whole WorldCom in Youngstown collapse, which many of the old steelworkers did retrain for that, and "bloop", there went those jobs as well), it does show he has balls. Clueless balls. "Meet the new boss, same as the old boss."