Rick Santorum may win? Oh, please. One, okay, no, he's not going to win the Iowa Caucus. Ron Paul will. But really, conservatives, do you want "President Frothy Discharge"? (although I expect if he goes forward he will play up the whole "conservative victim of liberal ideology" angle, which will work for 3 weeks)
Not fair, I know, there's still those who were hoping Sarah Palin might jump in (BTW, the Sarah hasn't endorsed anybody yet. Why? Because she doesn't know who will win yet. Once it's very clear, you'll see her endorsement. Why? Because she's a coward.). But that ain't going to happen (or, to play the liberal, "Oh please, oh please, oh please run Sarah").
Like I said, Ron Paul will win (or at least take second). Which is unfortunate. If Paul wins, the race will continue with all the same names (okay, Gary Johnson, Fred Karger and Buddy Roemer may drop out, what, you haven't heard of them either?). Now, if Romney somehow wins, I expect only four names to go forward (Romney, Gingrich - he hasn't sold all his books yet -, Paul and Santorum - I'm expecting Perry to come in 4th or worse, which will be the end of his bid, even if he goes forward).
Of course, I could be completely wrong. It's happened before. I am hoping to be very surprised if Huntsman (the only not completely wacky candidate) finished in the top 4 (if so, I see him getting the VP nod, sort of the anti-Palin gambit).
Now, I don't expect Paul to get anywhere near the actual nomination (or, to play the liberal again, "Oh please, oh please, oh please nominate the fruit-bat crazy great-grandpa, with sugar on top). I don't expect Gingrich to get the nomination either (and if he does, Obama should accept his Lincoln-Douglas debates, and just sit back and say nothing and let the man implode). Bachmann right now, IMHO, is shooting to be 2012's Sarah Palin. And I expect the same electoral response if she is put on the ticket (at least most US citizens know the rule of not getting into bed with anyone crazier than they are).
What I do think is hilarious is the anti-Romney ad which claims he's the choice of the "liberal Republican establishment." That's right, the whackaloons are subdividing and claiming the most conservative leadership evar in the RNC is actually too liberal for them.
Personally, I blame all this on the budgetary decisions of the States to close their mental hospitals and put all those people back out on the streets.
The best part of this whole process is that as the "Not-Romney" candidate rises to the top, they get more exposure. The voters get to see more of them. Hear more of their ideas. And because of that (more exposure and attention), they start falling in the polls.
3 comments:
Over at MN Progressive Project, one of their writers makes a cogent argument for why he thinks Santorum will win tomorrow evening.
There are still a lot of people who say they are uncommitted or could be convinced to switch. But few of them, sadly, will choose Huntsman.
Vince, Santorum may have momentum, but Paul has the organization. It'll all be about who can get people to the rooms. Santorum is all too easily torpedoed by his hypocrisy and the fact he had his ass handed to him during his re-election bid (ie, "not a winner").
Those are two good points. Sadly, the only thing that really matters is that whoever winds, it will be a nutjob of some kind. It's really sad to see the GOP come to this.
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